I think we’ll find out soon who’s underestimating and who’s overestimating what US is producing. However, all the official sources from US disagree with you right now. And again, Ukraine isn’t a core interest for US and they’re not going to send every last bit of weaponry to Ukraine. Here’s what Obama had to say in 2016:
The reality of the situation is that Russia has a state run military industry that it inherited from USSR, while the west has privatized industry. It’s much easier for Russia to ramp up production than it is for the west.
Finally, there’s China with an industrial base that dwarfs the west. China needs Russia to secure resources and as a shield in the west. The worst possible outcome for China would be if Russia was balkanized by the west and US was able to install puppet regimes there. If Russia ever found itself in a difficult position then China will step in and provide support.
I don’t disagree with the sentiment that Ukrainians aren’t suffering and won’t suffer more because of this. I’m not a fan of the US hegemony.
That being said I think you grossly underestimate the weapons capacity of the US both stockpile and production ability.
Heck I could make that argument about Russia as well…
I think we’ll find out soon who’s underestimating and who’s overestimating what US is producing. However, all the official sources from US disagree with you right now. And again, Ukraine isn’t a core interest for US and they’re not going to send every last bit of weaponry to Ukraine. Here’s what Obama had to say in 2016:
Meanwhile, Russia was producing over a million shells a year even before the war started, and has only increased up production since then
CSIS just published an article admitting that Russia isn’t going to be running out of missiles either https://www.csis.org/analysis/russia-isnt-going-run-out-missiles
tank production in Russia is ramping up too https://bulgarianmilitary.com/2023/06/29/russias-uvz-halts-all-secondary-output-begins-tank-mass-production/
The reality of the situation is that Russia has a state run military industry that it inherited from USSR, while the west has privatized industry. It’s much easier for Russia to ramp up production than it is for the west.
Finally, there’s China with an industrial base that dwarfs the west. China needs Russia to secure resources and as a shield in the west. The worst possible outcome for China would be if Russia was balkanized by the west and US was able to install puppet regimes there. If Russia ever found itself in a difficult position then China will step in and provide support.