They’re now projecting:
- Liberal majority with 61.4%
- Liberal minority with 32%
- Con majority with 1%
- Con minority with 5.5%
As exciting as it is to see that Canadians aren’t as stupid as our neighbours, this is only a poll. We have to vote, and vote like our country is at stake, because none of us want to be voting for a PRESIDENT in our next election.
I mean, i wouldnt be opposed to it; but only because I’m anti-monarchist, not because I want to be a yank.
Liberal majority with 61.4%
With this, the prospect of electoral reform seems bleak.
But it looks better than the alternative with 1% chance.
The best we’re going to get is ranked ballot. At the very least it would avoid vote splitting, so that’s a positive.
You can see people swapping from NDP to Liberal. Whats really interesting is how little Conservative voters are changing.
I want NDP but we have to win against cons first. NDP can wait.
Btw libs, time to knock off the gun control letters. I just got another one (for a model I don’t even own).
They should be explicitly endorsing responsible firearm ownership now given the enemy at the gate.
There is a tiny drop from November to today, but yes it’s mostly NPD voters (That’s their name in Québec ^^) and a little drop in the BQ towards the Libéral Party.
People on the broader left are unifying under the Liberals to counter PP now that Trudeau is gone.
Whats really interesting is how little Conservative voters are changing.
Not really.
Conservative brains are way more locked down, while center and left brains are more open to change, and know what needs to be done to better everyone’s lives. It’s pretty much in the name “conservative” and “liberal”.
If you look at the exit polls from the election down south, it’s pretty wild how definitive republicans are with certain statements, even when those statements are demonstrably untrue.
Down with Pierre Poilievre!
No PP for me!
Not this PP.
I’m curious how the liberal surge will effect ridings like these:
https://338canada.com/59009e.htm
https://338canada.com/59010e.htm
https://338canada.com/48017e.htm
NDP incumbent, with liberals in a distant 3rd, competing against the CPC.
Good question, and thanks for the link to 338. I’m in an ndp stronghold and happy with my mp.
Would still switch if I needed to to avoid a split vote. I’m sure there are many others who feel the same.
I would hate hate hate to vote strategically, but it’s fpp and this feels like a time when it’s necessary.
That’s still from March 9th. Things are changing fast.
It concludes data up to March 13th.